BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 35 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (5-4) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  163.89

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2018 Home    W   176.29  38  31   1A  20 ( 11-  2) Utah St                12.39     -5.39                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   161.62  13  16   1A  43 (  7-  6) Arizona St             -2.27     -0.73                      
  3 09/22/2018 Away    W * 174.55  35  21   1A  56 (  5-  7) Indiana                10.66      3.34                      
  4 09/29/2018 Home    W   147.44  31  20   1A 119 (  1- 11) Central Michigan      -16.46     27.46                      
  5 10/06/2018 Home    L * 148.97  19  29   1A  44 (  8-  5) Northwestern          -14.92      4.92                      
  6 10/13/2018 Away    W * 180.56  21  17   1A  12 (  9-  3) Penn State             16.67    -12.67                      
  7 10/20/2018 Home    L * 163.24   7  21   1A   4 ( 10-  2) Michigan               -0.66    -13.34                      
  8 10/27/2018 Home    W * 174.39  23  13   1A  29 (  6-  6) Purdue                 10.50     -0.50                      
  9 11/03/2018 Away    W * 184.05  24   3   1A  47 (  5-  7) Maryland               20.16      0.84                      
 10 11/10/2018 Home    L * 154.74   6  26   1A  10 ( 12-  1) Ohio State             -9.15    -10.85                      
 11 11/17/2018 Away    L * 157.21   6   9   1A  55 (  4-  8) Nebraska               -6.69      3.69                      
 12 11/24/2018 Home    W * 143.67  14  10   1A 103 (  1- 11) Rutgers               -20.23     24.23                      
 13 12/31/2018 Neutral                      1A  40 (  8-  4) Oregon                            0.85             
      Averages             163.89  19.8 18.0

Best game:  184.05 = 21 point win over Maryland
Worst game: 143.67 = 4 point win over Rutgers
Team stdev:  13.81